cLASSIFICATION APPROACH TO ANALYSIS OF TERRITORIAL SYSTEM STABILITY
Panasjuk M.V., Pudovik E.M.
Казанский государственный университет
Authors are offering the new approach and methods for analysis of territorial system stability problems decision which connect an estimation of development stability with an integrated estimation of the system condition quality dynamics in view of the preset levels of the condition estimation.
Scientifically methodical basis of the condition estimation and its stability are procedures for mathematical classification of territorial system elements. The basic methodological precondition of the analytical problems decision is a statement that allocated on the basis of values of the indicators classes preset complex and corresponding to them subsets of elements characterize the definite quality of element condition, and all classification system characterizes quality of the analyzed territory condition.
Basic features of the classification approach to an estimation of territorial system condition stability are:
The considered approach to the analysis of development stability assumes fulfillment of following conditions:
Development of the given approach has enabled definitions for some parameters of the territorial development dynamics analysis, and also its stability. Characteristics, in particular, concern to them: The maximal frequency of occurrence for estimation a level, number of transitions from a level to a level, factor of instability, measures of the system condition stability degree estimation, etc.
One of the approach basic features is its direct orientation on realization in GIS environment, the territory geoinformation analysis. The given direction in many respects has caused development of methodical base, structure of indicator system, measures and parameters of the territorial system stability estimation. Realization of the approach in GIS environment leans on bases of spatial data, a complex of GIS-maps and the specialized software package including both estimation and analytical procedures, and procedures of the GIS-analysis. Results of the problems decision represent a complex of GIS-maps and explanatory documents. Thus, the given approach creates bases for development of GIS special analytical functions for the decision of monitoring and the analysis of territorial system problems.
Since 1998 the approach is successfully applied at the decision of
scientific and industrial problems of the stability analysis of the